why learn tight play

 

How many of your hands are winners?

These are REAL numbers collected by PSxP on the seats that have won by random players in my last games on pokerstars.

Out of a total of 34,074 hands on pokerstars, the following seats won these amount of times…

Seat 1 – won 3,624 times or 10.6%
Seat 2 – won 3,722 times or 10.9%
Seat 3 – won 3,847 times or 11.3%
Seat 4 – won 3,825 times or 11.2%
Seat 5 – won 3,794 times or 11.1%
Seat 6 – won 3,904 times or 11.4%
Seat 7 – won 4,030 times or 11.8%
Seat 8 – won 3,726 times or 10.9%
Seat 9 – won 3,602 times or 10.6%

so, after 34 thousand hands dealt to you  in any given seat, between 10.6% and 11.8% will win.

 11% of your hands are winners

Lets call it “ONE in NINE” or “1/9th ” or “11%” , whatever works for you. Now we are not taking in to account, bluffing and buying, or having an edge (we will discuss these later), we are talking about every player flipping over his cards and playing to the river, the actual “winning value of the cards dealt to you” . Of course they will not come exactly at an 11% rate every game, sometimes you will win more, sometimes less, but in the end, 11%.

and if they won’t come in that order, which ones are actually the good ones to play?

Which cards are winners?

These are REAL numbers collected by PSxP on the hands that players brought to showdown on pokerstars.

REMEMBER! THESE HANDS WERE BELIVED IN ENOUGH TO BE THE WINNING HAND THAT THEY WERE BROUGHT TO SHOWDOWN. THE PLAYER BET OR CALLED A BET AND WON OR LOST.

 

the odds listed below are “odds to 1” that the hand will win

(3.46 means that for every 346 wins, you will have 100 losses)

(1 to 1 odds are 50% chance of winning)

(2 to 1 odds are a 66% chance of winning)

(0.50 to 1 odds are a 33% chance of winning or 1 to 2 odds) (or a “2 to 1 dog” against you)

if you hate this math, PSxP does it for you [As] [Ad]

odds – wins – hand – losses

3.46 – 0574 – AAo – 0166
2.25 – 0547 – KKo – 0243
1.81 – 0438 – QQo – 0242
1.75 – 0254 – AKs – 0145
1.62 – 0478 – JJo – 0295
1.57 – 0249 – AQs – 0159
1.35 – 0723 – AKo – 0534
1.27 – 0205 – AJs – 0161
1.25 – 0193 – KQs – 0155
1.19 – 0377 – TTo – 0316
1.18 – 0593 – AJo – 0504
1.15 – 0605 – AQo – 0524
1.14 – 0213 – ATs – 0187
1.14 – 0311 – 88o – 0273
1.13 – 0183 – A9s – 0162
1.13 – 0303 – 99o – 0269
1.11 – 0509 – ATo – 0459

—-after 10% buy in or rake, the hands below actually LOST me money (they were thought to be the best hand)

1.08 – 0291 – 77o – 0270
1.07 – 0405 – A9o – 0378
1.06 – 0135 – A2s – 0127
1.06 – 0183 – A8s – 0173
1.06 – 0298 – A6o – 0281
1.04 – 0145 – A7s – 0139
1.03 – 0154 – A6s – 0150
1.02 – 0171 – KTs – 0168
1.02 – 0524 – KQo – 0515

—- these hands lost more than they won (they were thought to be the best hand)

0.98 – 0160 – KJs – 0164
0.97 – 0138 – 9Qs – 0142
0.96 – 0332 – A8o – 0345
0.95 – 0318 – A7o – 0335
0.94 – 0260 – 9Ko – 0277
0.92 – 0210 – A3o – 0228
0.92 – 0309 – QTo – 0335
0.91 – 0146 – QTs – 0160
0.91 – 0222 – A2o – 0243
0.90 – 0390 – KTo – 0432
0.89 – 0135 – JTs – 0151
0.89 – 0262 – A5o – 0293
0.88 – 0220 – 66o – 0251
0.88 – 0409 – KJo – 0464
0.87 – 0107 – 9Js – 0123
0.87 – 0147 – 22o – 0169
0.86 – 0115 – 9Ks – 0134
0.86 – 0237 – A4o – 0274
0.86 – 0357 – QJo – 0413
0.85 – 0210 – 9Jo – 0246
0.84 – 0112 – 9Ts – 0134
0.84 – 0151 – QJs – 0179
0.84 – 0152 – 89o – 0182
0.83 – 0109 – A4s – 0132
0.83 – 0139 – 78o – 0168
0.83 – 0181 – 55o – 0218
0.83 – 0184 – 8Ko – 0223
0.82 – 0195 – 9To – 0238
0.82 – 0219 – 9Qo – 0266
0.81 – 0158 – 8Qo – 0196
0.81 – 0295 – JTo – 0366


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